Online Texas Hold’em Odds

Online Poker is a game of odds...

If you play Texas Hold’em poker online, I’m guessing you’re playing to win.  And if winning is your game, you play by the odds.  Odds are a central point of interest to all online poker players.  If you don't know how to calculate the odds of your hand vs. various pot odds you will only win on occasion when you’re lucky.  

 

It’s true that some famous poker stars claim to play their hands based on gut feelings, but rest assured knowing they are full of crap.  Every professional poker player, online or offline, checks the odds of his/her hand first.  Online Texas Hold'em, like every other variation of poker, is based on a strict set of mathematical odds.  Therefore, a solid grounding in simple mathematics is essential to winning the game.

 

In layman’s terms, the game of poker is structured around the probability of a specific outcome occurring vs. the dollar amount you win if it does occur or the dollar amount you lose if it doesn’t.  The numeric probability represents your odds of winning.  It’s completely impossible to place rational bets and call bluffs in online Texas Hold’em poker if you don’t have a clue what the current running table odds are.

 

What are the odds of hitting a straight draw?  What are the odds of your pocket suited pair improving to a flush set after the flop?  That’s exactly the kind of information your will find in the table below. 

 

 

Poker Hand

% of Occurence

Probability - Odds Against

Pair before the flop

6

1 in 17 - 16:1

Suited before the flop

24

1 in 4.2 - 3.2:1

Suited Connectors (3 and 4, Jack and Queen, etc.)

4

1 in 25 - 24:1

Pair of Aces or Kings before the flop

.9

1 in 111 - 110:1

Ace and King before the flop

1.2

1 in 83 - 82:1

Ace and King suited before the flop

.3

1 in 332 - 331:1

Single Ace in hand before the flop

16

1 in 6.25 - 5.25:1

Pair of Aces, Kings, Queens or Jacks

1.8

1 in 56 - 55:1

Flop being all three of a kind (ex. King, King, King)

.24

1 in 425 - 424:1

Pair of Aces versus pair of Kings before the flop (heads up)

.004

1 in 22560 - 22559:1

Ace and King dealt before the flop and hitting an Ace or King by the river

50

1 in 2 - even

Pair of Queens versus Ace and King heads up until river

56

1 in 1.78 - 14:11 favorite

Two cards before the flop that are Jacks or above

9

1 in 11 - 10:1

Beer Hand (72 off) before the flop (or other non-suited two card combination)

.9

1 in 110 - 109:1

Four Flush completing (bluffing… you only have 4 suited instead of 5)

39

1 in 2.6 - 3:2

Open Ended Straight-Flush completing to Flush or Straight by the river

54

1 in 1.85

Open Ended Straight completing

34

1 in 2.9 - ~2:1

Two Pair on flop improving to a Full House

17

1 in 5.8 - ~5:1

Three of a Kind on flop improving to Full House or Four of a Kind

37

1 in 2.7- ~3:2

Pocket pair improving to Three of a Kind on the flop

12

1 in 8 - 7:1

No pair hand before the flop improving to a pair on the flop

32

1 in 3.125 - ~2:1

If you have suited cards, two will flop

11

1 in 9 - 8:1

One pair on flop improving to two pair or three of a kind by river

22

1 in 4.7 - ~4:1

Pocket pair improving to three of a kind after flop

9

1 in 11 - 10:1

Two over cards improving to a pair by river

26

1 in 3.9 - ~3:1

Two over cards and a Gutshot improving to pair or straight

43

1 in 2.3 - 4:3

Gutshot straight draw hitting by river

17

1 in 6 - 5:1

Gutshot and pair improving to two pair or better

39

1 in 2.6 - 3:2

Backdoor Flush hitting by the river

4

1 in 24 - 23:1

Runner Runner Straight

1.5

1 in 68 - 67:1

Backdoor Flush and One Over Card improving to that pair or flush

17

1 in 6 - 5:1

Catching Ace on the turn or the river

13

1 in 8 - 7:1

Backdoor Flush and Gutshot improving to one by the river

21

1 in 4.8 - 3.8:1

Backdoor Flush And Two Over Cards improving to pair or flush

30

1 in 3.3 - 2.3:1

5 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board

58

1 in 1.7

4 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board

47

1 in 2.1

3 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board

35

1 in 2.9

2 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board

23

1 in 4.3

3 of one suit on board and another coming if you have one

39

1 in 2.6 - 3:2

5 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it

43

1 in 2.4

4 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it

34

1 in 3

3 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it

26

1 in 4

2 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it

17

1 in 5.8